Indonesia-France Relations in the Field of Defense: Rational Choice Amid Global Pressure
This article analyzes Indonesia's ambitious military modernization through its strategic acquisition of Rafale fighter jets and Scorpène submarines from France. Utilizing Graham Allison’s Rational Choice theory, the article dissects the core strategic dilemma facing Jakarta: balancing the urgent need for advanced military technology against the crippling political risks of foreign dependency, a lesson painfully learned from the 1990s US military embargo and the looming threat of modern US CAATSA sanctions tied to Russian hardware. Rafsanjani argues that by turning to France, Indonesia acts as a highly calculating rational actor that skillfully diversifies its supply chain to avoid technology monopolies. This partnership offers a blueprint for Global South nations to optimize technology transfer and military modernization while fiercely protecting their independent, flexible, and non-aligned foreign policy.
